How Improbable is David Perron’s Season?

How Improbable is David Perron’s Season?

I think it’s fairly obvious to most Oilers fans that David Perron is having a tough time scoring goals this season.  He’s been robbed by …

 

Season Fancystats Update After 15 Games

Season Fancystats Update After 15 Games

Here’s an even strength fancystats update after game 15, up to and including the win over NYR. So almost all of their key metrics for the …

 

Season Fancystats Update After 8 Games

Season Fancystats Update After 8 Games

With me only being able to process games in batches, I’m going to try out a new format for posts that I can do periodically …

 

The Impact of Winning Faceoffs in Different Zones

The Impact of Winning Faceoffs in Different Zones

In my piece from earlier this week, I tried to calculate what kind of impact a player’s on-ice faceoff percentage (FO%) has on his overall …

 

The Influence of Face-offs and Zone Starts on Corsi

The Influence of Face-offs and Zone Starts on Corsi

One of the most important pursuits in advanced hockey stats, in my opinion, is to put our numbers into context.  When looking at something like …

 

Testing the Predictive Value of Expected Goals vs Other Metrics

Testing the Predictive Value of Expected Goals vs Other Metrics

Picking up on my series about a new shot-quantity/shot-quality hybrid measure I’ve been calling Expected Goals, I wanted to share some of the predictive testing …

 

Piecing the Shot Puzzle Together

Piecing the Shot Puzzle Together

Over the last few weeks I’ve been experimenting with new formulas to determine how shot distance, shot type, and shot quantity can all be intertwined …

 

Dissecting the Effectiveness of Shot Types

Dissecting the Effectiveness of Shot Types

As I tumble further down the rabbit hole on shot quality analysis, I’ve come to a place where I need to establish whether shot types …

 

The Value of Rebounds

The Value of Rebounds

There are certain things that as longtime fans of hockey, we innately know must be true.  One of those things is that an inordinately high …

 

Combining Shot Differentials with Shot Distances

Combining Shot Differentials with Shot Distances

Recently I wrote a piece on the relationship between shot distance and scoring.  The main takeaway from that article is seen in the following chart: There’s …